Association of Changes in Cardiovascular Health Metrics and Risk of Subsequent Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality.

Pubmed ID: 32985301

Pubmed Central ID: PMC7792367

Journal: Journal of the American Heart Association

Publication Date: Oct. 20, 2020

Affiliation: Cardiology Department AP-HP Georges Pompidou European Hospital Paris France.

MeSH Terms: Humans, Male, Adult, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Risk Factors, Middle Aged, Smoking, Body Mass Index, Blood Pressure, Diet, Prospective Studies, Blood Glucose, Cholesterol, Exercise

Grants: K01 HL151974, L30 HL148987, R01 AG056477, R01 DK108628

Authors: Vasan RS, Allen NB, Gaye B, Tajeu GS, Lassale C, Singh-Manoux A, Jouven X

Cite As: Gaye B, Tajeu GS, Vasan RS, Lassale C, Allen NB, Singh-Manoux A, Jouven X. Association of Changes in Cardiovascular Health Metrics and Risk of Subsequent Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality. J Am Heart Assoc 2020 Oct 20;9(19):e017458. Epub 2020 Sep 28.

Studies:

Abstract

Background The extent to which change in cardiovascular health (CVH) in midlife reduces risk of subsequent cardiovascular disease and mortality is unclear. Methods and Results CVH was computed at 2 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study visits in 1987 to 1989 and 1993 to 1995, using 7 metrics (smoking, body mass index, total cholesterol, blood glucose, blood pressure, physical activity, and diet), each classified as poor, intermediate, and ideal. Overall CVH was classified as poor, intermediate, and ideal to correspond to 0 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 7 metrics at ideal levels. There 10 038 participants, aged 44 to 66 years that were eligible. From the first to the second study visit, there was an improvement in overall CVH for 17% of participants and a decrease in CVH for 21% of participants. At both study visits, 28%, 27%, and 6% had poor, intermediate, and ideal overall CVH, respectively. Compared with those with poor CVH at both visits, the risk of cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [HR], 0.26; 95% CI, 0.20-0.34) and mortality (HR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.29-0.44) was lowest in those with ideal CVH at both measures. Improvement from poor to intermediate/ideal CVH was also associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.59-0.75) and mortality (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.72-0.89). Conclusions Improvement in CVH or stable ideal CVH, compared with those with poor CVH over time, is associated with a lower risk of incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. The change in smoking status and cholesterol may have accounted for a large part of the observed association.