Abstract

BACKGOUND: Silent electrocardiographic ST change predicts future coronary heart disease (CHD) incidence and mortality, but the prognostic significance of painless ST-segment depression (STD) with respect to sudden cardiac death (SCD) in subjects without apparent CHD remain unclear. This study sought to test the association between non-ischemic resting STD and risk of SCD in the general population. METHODS: A total of 14,935 middle-aged subjects from the prospective, population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study were included in this analysis. Cox models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for possible confounding factors. STD was defined as ST-segment depression of ≥0.05 mV in two or more contiguous leads. RESULTS: A total of 626 sudden cardiac death occurred during the mean follow-up of 20.4 years. Compared with those without STD, subjects with resting painless STD of at least 0.05 mV had a significantly increased risk of developing SCD (adjusted HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.20 to 1.76), and those with STD ≥ 0.1 mV had even higher risk of SCD (adjusted HR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.25 to 2.88). Significant interactions were present between gender and STD (P = .03), and between race and STD (P = .01). STD was significantly predictive of SCD in males (adjusted HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.22-2.01) and in whites (adjusted HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.27-2.14). STD in lateral leads and global leads were strong predictors of SCD. CONCLUSIONS: Resting painless STD was an independent predictor of SCD in the middle-aged population without previously diagnosed CHD.