Association of Smoking, Alcohol, and Obesity with Cardiovascular Death and Ischemic Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS).

Pubmed ID: 26756465

Pubmed Central ID: PMC4710457

Journal: PloS one

Publication Date: Jan. 12, 2016

Affiliation: Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America.

MeSH Terms: Humans, Male, Female, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Middle Aged, Smoking, Atrial Fibrillation, Stroke, Alcohol Drinking, Obesity

Grants: HHSN268200800007C, HHSN268201100005C, HHSN268201100006C, HHSN268201100007C, HHSN268201100008C, HHSN268201100009C, HHSN268201100010C, HHSN268201100011C, HHSN268201100012C, HHSN268201200036C, N01HC55222, N01HC85079, N01HC85080, N01HC85081, N01HC85082, N01HC85083, N01HC85086, R01 AG023629, U01 HL080295, T32-HL069764, R01AG023629, HL102214, U01HL080295, R21 AG042660, HHSN268201100009I, HHSN268201100005G, HHSN268201100008I, HHSN268201100011I, HHSN268201100005I, HHSN268201100007I, R01 HL102214, 16EIA26410001, T32 HL069764

Authors: Lip GY, Soliman EZ, Chen LY, Alonso A, Kwon Y, Norby FL, Jensen PN, Agarwal SK, Longstreth WT, Heckbert SR

Cite As: Kwon Y, Norby FL, Jensen PN, Agarwal SK, Soliman EZ, Lip GY, Longstreth WT Jr, Alonso A, Heckbert SR, Chen LY. Association of Smoking, Alcohol, and Obesity with Cardiovascular Death and Ischemic Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). PLoS One 2016 Jan 12;11(1):e0147065. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0147065. eCollection 2016.

Studies:

Abstract

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and cardiovascular (CV) death. Whether modifiable lifestyle risk factors are associated with these CV outcomes in AF is unknown. Among Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) participants with incident AF, we estimated the risk of composite endpoint of ischemic stroke or CV death associated with candidate modifiable risk factor (smoking, heavy alcohol consumption, or high body mass index [BMI]), and computed the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of incorporating each factor into the CHA2DS2-VASc. Among 1222 ARIC (mean age: 63.4) and 756 CHS (mean age: 79.1) participants with incident AF, during mean follow-up of 6.9 years and 5.7 years, there were 332 and 335 composite events respectively. Compared with never smokers, current smokers had a higher incidence of the composite endpoint in ARIC [HR: 1.65 (1.21-2.26)] but not in CHS [HR: 1.05 (0.69-1.61)]. In ARIC, the addition of current smoking did not improve risk prediction over and above the CHA2DS2-VASc. No significant associations were observed with alcohol consumption or BMI with CVD outcomes in AF patients from either cohort. Smoking is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke or CV death in ARIC, which comprised mostly middle-aged to young-old (65-74 years), but not in CHS, which comprised mostly middle-old or oldest-old (≥75 years) adults with AF. However, addition of smoking to the CHA2DS2-VASc score did not improve risk prediction of these outcomes.